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My project is over budget: what can a construction economist do?

📐 Focus8 min read

The tenders are in and every one of them exceeds the envelope you approved. Or the developed-design measure has just revealed a 25 % gap against the outline estimate. Or the site has started and the variations are piling up. In all three cases the question is the same: what now? A construction economist is not only the person who produces tables of figures; they are also, and perhaps above all, the person who finds room for manoeuvre when the budget goes off course.

First step: diagnose before acting

Before looking for savings, you have to understand where the overrun comes from. That diagnosis entirely determines the strategy: the levers available, their effect on the project and their feasibility within the current programme are not the same according to the cause.

Cause of the overrun When it surfaces Levers available Effect on the programme
The client's brief evolved between outline and developed design Developed design Revisiting the brief, trade-offs on area Small if caught early
Technical choices costlier than foreseen: structure, façade, services Developed design or tender Technical variants, optimising the packages concerned Moderate
Material inflation between estimate and tender Award stage Revisiting the brief, phasing, splitting the works Moderate to high
Unfavourable market conditions, contractors' order books full Award stage Postponing the tender, negotiating, package by package High
Initial under-estimate: a weak outline study or optimistic assumptions Developed design or tender Complete recalibration, seeking additional funding High
Unanticipated variations during construction Construction Trade-offs in execution, the client's reserve Small if a provision exists
Discoveries on site, on refurbishment Construction Drawing on the reserve, a variation to the brief High, according to scale

The situations where the levers are most constrained are those where the overrun surfaces late, or where its causes are hard to correct without a heavy effect on programme or quality. It is precisely to avoid them that regular cost monitoring throughout design is so valuable.

The 1, 10, 100 rule A change of brief costs 1 at concept stage, 10 at developed design or tender, and 100 during construction. The earlier an overrun is caught, the less it costs to correct. That is the fundamental reason the outline estimate, the developed-design measure and the monitoring of tenders are investments rather than expenses.

When the overrun surfaces during design

Revisiting the brief

This is the most powerful lever, and the least popular. Reducing the area of the project, removing a level, simplifying the communal spaces, deferring a phase: these decisions recover the approved envelope without degrading the quality of what remains. The economist prices the effect of each reduction scenario precisely so the client can choose with full knowledge.

Optimising the technical choices

Without touching the brief, it is often possible to recover 5 to 15 % by revisiting the technical choices on the heaviest packages: simplifying the form of the building — a compact building costs less per square metre than an L or a U — rationalising the structure, optimising the mechanical systems. The economist identifies the items that carry weight and produces priced variants for each.

Putting the specification in perspective

The level of specification adopted at concept stage is not always the one that must prevail. The economist can propose a rereading of the brief distinguishing the non-negotiable items — regulatory, functional, or tied to long-term quality in use — from those that can be revisited without materially affecting the value of the project.

When the tenders exceed the envelope

This is the most frequent situation and often the most stressful: the project is technically defined, the design work is done, and the contractors have priced 20 % above expectation. The options are fewer than during design, but they exist.

Targeted negotiation, package by package

The economist analyses the gap between the offers received and their own estimate for each package. For every package over budget they identify where the room for negotiation is greatest: items over-priced against the median, site constraints the contractor may have over-valued, excessive contingency provisions. The negotiation bears on those specific items, with documented technical arguments.

Substitute technical variants

On some packages the economist can propose variants that reduce cost without degrading performance: an equivalent but cheaper material, an alternative construction method, the simplification of an architectural detail. Variants go to the architect and the engineers for technical approval before being put to the contractors.

Phasing or splitting the works

If the overall envelope cannot be held, phasing spreads the investment over time: carrying out the indispensable packages first and deferring secondary works to a later phase. That option is not always available — planning constraints, constructional logic — but it can unlock situations where funding is the principal obstacle.

Levers by trade

The table sets out, trade by trade, the savings with real impact, those with little effect on final quality, and the points an economist will never recommend touching.

Package / trade Savings with real impact Savings with little effect on quality Non-negotiable
Structure Simplifying the form, reducing basement area, standard foundations where the ground allows Optimising reinforcement, phasing the excavation Statutory strengths, fire protection
Façades and insulation Internal rather than external insulation where not imposed, fewer architectural overhangs Choice of render system, cladding finish Thermal performance to the regulations, air-tightness
Mechanical services Communal rather than individual heating, heat pump against gas boiler Brand of equipment, finish of exposed ductwork Statutory air flow rates, minimum efficiency
External joinery Fewer opening lights, standardised dimensions Colour, handles, blinds Statutory thermal performance, wind resistance, accessibility
Internal finishes Fewer finish types, one or two rather than four or five; paint rather than wallpaper Skirting height, quality of the timber flooring Finishes in sanitary and wet areas
External works Simplifying the site plan, fewer parking spaces where the regulations allow Quality of paving, street furniture Statutory services, accessibility

What should never be sacrificed Some apparent savings are paid for dearly over time: under-sized thermal insulation (energy bills, discomfort), inadequate waterproofing (leaks, damage), degraded acoustic performance (nuisance, loss of property value). The economist advises the client on the trade-offs, but also has a duty to flag clearly the savings that damage the value and durability of the project.

When the overrun arrives during construction

An overrun during construction is the hardest to control: commitments are made, contractors are on site, and room for manoeuvre is narrow. The economist then works on two fronts.

Strict control of variations

Every request for additional work is examined rigorously: checking that the work is not already covered by the original contract, negotiating the price on the basis of the contractual price build-ups, and the design team confirming the need before signature. A badly examined variation can easily represent 5 to 10 % of the package.

Real-time trade-offs

If unavoidable overruns loom — a ground discovery, existing structure in a condition the survey did not show — the economist helps the client decide: what savings can be found on packages not yet executed to offset the additional cost? Can some finishes be revisited to absorb the overrun without touching the structural packages?

Quostra's emergency intervention

Quostra can step in at any phase of a project that is over budget: auditing the existing estimate to identify the items to revisit, producing priced variants on the problem packages, supporting the negotiation of offers, or controlling variations during construction.

A budget optimisation assignment starts with a framing discussion, free of charge, to understand the situation, identify the causes and propose a realistic plan of action. The deliverable is an optimisation report with priced scenarios and their effects on the project.

Your budget is going off course? Submit your project on quostra.com and an economist diagnoses the overrun and proposes concrete solutions within 72 working hours.

In summary

Faced with an overrun, the first action is always the diagnosis: identify the cause, when it surfaced, and the levers available. The earlier it is caught, the more numerous and the cheaper the options. The economist has a full toolbox — revisiting the brief, technical variants, targeted negotiation, phasing, control of variations — which they adapt to the phase and the specific cause. Their role is not merely to record the gap but to find the way back into the envelope without degrading what really matters in the project.

Construction cost studies in France: the economist's role, stages and deliverables
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